Neighborhood Buyer Series

Grove Park, Orange Park: What It Takes to Buy 5 Minutes From NAS Jax

Published by Bryce Spraggins on

To buy in Grove Park in Orange Park, Clay County, expect a monthly payment between $2,558 and $3,446 with taxes and insurance included, a down payment between $10,115 and $13,895 on an FHA loan at 3.5% down, and a household income between roughly $68,200 and $91,900 with no other monthly debt. Seven homes were for sale between $289,000 and $397,000, and the median home sold in the last twelve months at $314,950. The neighborhood sits about five minutes from NAS Jacksonville, and VA loans, which require nothing down, were 7 of the last 20 closings. Figures are modelled at 6.95% on the Clay County millage of 15.347 against a realMLS pull taken November 12, 2026.

Bryce Spraggins reads the real numbers on Grove Park in Orange Park, Clay County: seven homes for sale, what the payment and income take, and the military pay grade that clears the entry home five minutes from NAS Jacksonville.

What This Video Covers

This is the fourth episode of the neighborhood buyer series. Each one takes a single neighborhood, pulls the real MLS data, and puts the four numbers a buyer actually needs on the screen: what is for sale, what it costs a month, what you have to earn, and what credit score gets you in.

Grove Park is in Orange Park, Clay County, just west of the St. Johns River. It is about five minutes to NAS Jacksonville and roughly thirty to the airport. Because it is Clay and not Duval, the tax rate is lower: 15.347 mills against Duval’s 17.86.

This is VA country, and that changes the entry price

7 of the 20 closings here were VA loans, tied with conventional for the most common financing in the neighborhood and nearly double the FHA count. That is what sitting next to a naval air station does to a housing market.

A VA loan requires nothing down. So for an eligible buyer, the down payment figures below are not the barrier. The cash that matters becomes closing costs and prepaids, and in this neighborhood sellers are covering most of that already.

What a military income actually reaches

Taking published 2026 pay tables and the NAS Jacksonville housing allowance, with dependents, and applying no gross-up:

⚠️ Two things change those figures. They are with dependents rates, and a single E-4 receives a smaller allowance and does not clear. And because the housing allowance is not taxable, most lenders gross it up by 15 to 25 percent, which only helps. The figures above leave that out so they stay true whichever lender you use. None of this is a pre-approval.

What is actually for sale

Seven single-family homes are available, from $289,000 to $397,000. The median home that closed in the last twelve months sold for $314,950. There is no CDD and no HOA on a single one of the 56 records in this pull, and the housing stock was built between 1974 and 1991, with a median year of 1977.

This is a steady market, not a distressed one, and that is worth saying plainly because it differs from other neighborhoods in this series. The closing pace was flat at about 1.7 a month across both halves of the year. Only one of the seven homes for sale has cut its price. Eleven listings failed to sell over the period, which is a normal share rather than an alarming one. Homes here close at a median of 98.0% of asking.

⟶ So sellers in Grove Park are not competing on price. They are competing on credits, and generously: 14 of the 20 closings (70%) carried a seller concession, at a median of $9,594. That is the highest rate of any neighborhood covered in this series, and it is very nearly the size of the FHA down payment on the cheapest home.

⚠️ A seller credit cannot pay your down payment. It covers closing costs, prepaid items, discount points and the upfront mortgage insurance premium only. What it does here is erase almost all of the other cash at the table.

What it costs a month, and what you need to earn

On an FHA loan at 3.5% down and 6.95%, taxes and insurance included, payments run from $2,558 to $3,446. Income needed runs from $68,200 to $91,900 with no other monthly debt, and six of the seven homes clear the typical Clay County household income of $87,820.

Those taxes are modelled on the purchase price, not on the seller’s bill. Florida resets a property’s assessment to market when it changes hands, so a long-held homesteaded owner’s figure on the MLS sheet understates what a buyer will pay.

All seven homes accept FHA financing, which has not been true in any previous episode of this series.

Credit score

580 is the FHA floor at 3.5% down, and 500 to 579 requires 10% down instead. Most lenders overlay above that and want 620, so ask rather than assume. The VA program sets no minimum score of its own, though individual VA lenders do.

About the house in the video

The home shown is 1731 Horton Drive, listed at $315,000 by Kady Rose Andreoli of Momentum Realty. It is not Bryce’s listing. Three bedrooms, two baths, 1,666 square feet, built 1974, on about a quarter acre, and completely renovated.

It is called priced perfectly in the video for one specific reason: it is listed at $315,000 and the median home in the neighborhood sold for $314,950, a difference of fifty dollars. It has been on the market nine days with no price reduction.

Every figure on this page comes from one realMLS export pulled November 12, 2026, covering 56 single-family records in Grove Park, Orange Park 32073. These are generalities for a neighborhood, not an approval for a person.

The Actual Grove Park Numbers

Card showing 2026 military pay qualification for Grove Park: E-4 over 4 years at $68,454, O-1 day one at $76,154, and O-3 at $94,777, against an entry home needing $68,220
What a military income reaches here. Base pay plus the NAS Jacksonville housing allowance, with dependents, with no gross-up applied. An E-4 over four years clears the entry home by about $230 a year. An O-1 on day one clears the neighborhood. O-3 is the first grade that reaches the top of the market. ⚠️ A single E-4 receives a smaller allowance and does not clear. Not a pre-approval. (Click to enlarge.)
Stacked bar chart of monthly payments for seven Grove Park homes from $2,558 to $3,446, beside a chart of down payments by loan type showing VA at $0 and FHA at $10,115
The payment broken into its real parts, and the cash to get in. On the left, every available home with loan payment, property tax, insurance and mortgage insurance stacked separately, taxes figured at the Clay rate on the new purchase price. On the right, the down payment on the cheapest home by loan type. Note the top bar: VA is zero down. The dashed line is the median seller credit on recent sales, $9,594, which is larger than the conventional 3% down payment. (Click to enlarge.)
Grouped bar chart of household income needed to buy in Grove Park under three debt scenarios, from $68,200 to $122,600, against a typical Clay County household income of $87,820
The household income each price actually requires. Three debt loads per home at a 45% debt-to-income ratio. The dashed line is the typical Clay County household at $87,820 a year. Six of the seven homes sit under it with no other monthly debt. Only the $397,000 top of market needs more than a median income. (Click to enlarge.)
Scattergram of Grove Park homes plotting price against heated square feet, showing 7 homes for sale, 20 recent sales and 11 that never sold, with a nearly flat fair value line and a wide normal range band
What homes ask versus what they sell for. Every single-family home plotted by heated square feet against price. ⚠️ Read this one carefully: the R² here is 0.03, meaning square footage explains almost none of the price difference in this neighborhood. The fair value line is nearly flat and the band is wide, so the honest read is the spread of the dots, not the position of any one home against the line. (Click to enlarge.)

Common Questions

What military rank can afford a house in Grove Park, Orange Park?

Using published 2026 pay tables with the NAS Jacksonville housing allowance at the with-dependents rate, an E-4 over four years earns roughly $68,454 a year in base pay plus allowance, against the $68,220 needed for the entry home at $289,000. An O-1 reaches about $76,154 on day one, which clears the neighborhood comfortably. O-3 is the first grade that reaches the $397,000 top of the market. A single service member receives a lower housing allowance and these figures change. Because the allowance is untaxed, most lenders gross it up 15 to 25 percent, which improves all of them. None of this is a pre-approval.

What income do you need to buy a house in Grove Park?

With no other monthly debt, a household needs roughly $68,200 a year for the entry home at $289,000 and about $91,900 for the top of the market at $397,000. Six of the seven homes for sale clear the typical Clay County household income of $87,820. Those figures assume an FHA loan at 6.95% with 3.5% down, at a 45% debt-to-income ratio, with taxes and insurance included.

Do VA loans really require no down payment?

Yes. An eligible borrower with full entitlement can finance 100% of the purchase price on a VA loan with no down payment and no monthly mortgage insurance. There is a VA funding fee, which is usually financed into the loan rather than paid in cash, and borrowers receiving VA disability compensation are generally exempt from it. In Grove Park, 7 of the 20 homes that closed in the twelve months to November 2026 were bought with VA financing, tied with conventional as the most common.

Are sellers in Grove Park paying closing costs?

Very often. Of the 20 homes that closed in Grove Park in the twelve months to November 2026, 14 carried a seller concession, a rate of 70%, with a median of $9,594 and a maximum of $14,195. That is the highest rate of any neighborhood covered in this series. A seller credit can only be applied to closing costs, prepaid items, discount points and the upfront mortgage insurance premium. It cannot pay the down payment.

Is Grove Park in Duval or Clay County?

Clay County. Grove Park is in Orange Park, zip code 32073, just west of the St. Johns River. That matters for property tax: Clay County's combined millage is 15.347 mills against Duval County's 17.86, so the rate is lower than in Jacksonville proper. There is also no CDD bond and essentially no HOA on the homes in this pull.

Is Grove Park a buyer's market right now?

It is balanced rather than distressed. The closing pace was flat at about 1.7 sales a month across both halves of the year, only one of the seven homes for sale had reduced its price, and homes closed at a median of 98.0% of asking. Sellers are not cutting prices, but they are contributing heavily toward buyer closing costs, which is where the negotiating room actually sits in this neighborhood.

Related Resources

Want These Numbers for Your Neighborhood?

Tell Bryce where you want to be and he will run the same read on it — what is for sale, the payment, the income and the credit score it takes to get in. No obligation, and no property address required.