Neighborhood Buyer Series
To buy in Cedar Hills Estates in Jacksonville 32210, expect a monthly payment between $1,723 and $2,312 with taxes and insurance included, a down payment between $6,300 and $8,746 on an FHA loan at 3.5% down, and a household income between roughly $45,900 and $61,700 with no other monthly debt. Every one of those income figures sits below the Duval County median household income of $71,277. Nine homes were for sale between $180,000 and $249,900, and the median home sold in the last twelve months at $230,000. Figures are modelled at 6.95% on the Duval millage of 17.86 against a realMLS pull taken November 11, 2026.
Bryce Spraggins reads the real numbers on Cedar Hills Estates in Jacksonville 32210, where every home on the market qualifies on a household income below the county median.
This is the third episode of the neighborhood buyer series. Each one takes a single neighborhood, pulls the real MLS data, and puts the four numbers a buyer actually needs on the screen: what is for sale, what it costs a month, what you have to earn, and what credit score gets you in.
The entry home here needs about $45,900 a year to qualify. The most expensive one needs about $61,700. The typical Duval County household earns $71,277.
So every single home on the market in Cedar Hills Estates qualifies on a below-median income. That is unusual, and it did not hold in either of the first two neighborhoods in this series. San Jose Manor reached the median household. Lake Asbury could not be reached at all without equity from a previous sale. Here the whole range clears it, top to bottom. Add a $550 car payment and the entry figure moves to about $60,600, which still clears. Add a car, a student loan and a credit card at $1,150 a month and it is about $76,600, which finally does not.
Nine single-family homes are available, from $180,000 to $249,900, with four more already under contract. The median home that closed in the last twelve months sold for $230,000, at about $156 a square foot. It is a 1950s neighborhood, with a median year built of 1958, and no CDD bond on a single one of the 100 records in this pull. Almost none of them carry an HOA.
The market here favours a buyer, and the data says so three different ways. Closings slowed by about a third, from roughly 2.2 a month in the prior six months to 1.5 a month in the last six. Six of the nine homes for sale have already cut their asking price, one of them by $64,999. And 42 of the 100 listing attempts in this pull died, cancelled, expired or withdrawn, without ever selling.
That last figure is the one worth sitting with. Nearly half of everything that tried to sell here failed. On the scattergram below, almost every one of those grey crosses sits above the fair value line, while the homes currently for sale sit on or below it. The ones still on the market have corrected. The ones that died never did. Priced right, homes here move.
On an FHA loan at 3.5% down and 6.95%, with taxes and insurance included, payments run from $1,723 on the $180,000 home to $2,312 at $249,900.
Those taxes are modelled on the purchase price, not on the seller’s bill. Florida resets a property’s assessment to market value when it changes hands, so a long-held homesteaded owner’s tax figure on the MLS sheet can understate what a new buyer pays several times over.
The down payment itself is $6,300 to $8,746. But Florida closing costs and prepaid items add roughly another 2 to 5 percent of the price on top, so true cash to close lands around $10,000 to $21,000.
Here is what makes that manageable in this particular neighborhood. 13 of the 21 closings in the last twelve months carried a seller concession, at a median of $7,980 and a maximum of $12,000. That median credit is larger than the down payment on six of the nine homes currently for sale.
⚠️ A seller credit still cannot pay your down payment. It can only go toward closing costs, prepaid items, discount points and the upfront mortgage insurance premium, and the FHA minimum investment has to come from you or an approved gift. What it does is wipe out the other cash at the table, which is the larger and less expected number. The down payment is yours to bring. The seller is frequently covering nearly everything else.
The down payment does not have to come from your checking account either. A 401(k), stocks or a documented gift are all allowed sources.
⚠️ One per-listing check: two of the nine homes do not accept FHA financing by their listing terms. Nothing here is near the FHA loan ceiling, so this is a listing-by-listing issue rather than a price issue.
580 is the real FHA floor at 3.5% down, and between 500 and 579 the program requires 10% down instead. Most lenders overlay above that and want 620 or better, so ask before you count yourself out. FHA is genuinely used here: 6 of the 21 closings in the last twelve months were FHA loans.
The $200,000 home shown is 3748 Frye Avenue, and it is Bryce’s own listing. Three bedrooms, two baths, 1,289 square feet, built in 1958, on about a quarter acre. It carries a new mini split system, a recent roof and updated kitchen and baths. It was listed in September at $225,000 and has since been reduced to $200,000. At that price it takes about $7,000 down and $1,892 a month, and it accepts FHA financing.
Every figure on this page comes from one realMLS export pulled November 11, 2026, covering 100 single-family records in Cedar Hills Estates, Jacksonville 32210. These are generalities for a neighborhood, not an approval for a person. Every deal is its own puzzle.
With no other monthly debt, a household needs roughly $45,900 a year for the entry home at $180,000 and about $61,700 for the most expensive at $249,900. Both figures sit below the Duval County median household income of $71,277, so every home on the market there is reachable on a below-median income. A $550 car payment raises the entry figure to about $60,600, and a car plus a student loan plus a credit card raises it to about $76,600. Modelled on an FHA loan at 6.95% with 3.5% down, at a 45% debt-to-income ratio, with taxes and insurance included.
As of November 11, 2026, nine single-family homes were for sale in Cedar Hills Estates between $180,000 and $249,900, with four more already under contract. The median home that closed in the previous twelve months sold for $230,000, at about $156 a square foot. Six of the nine homes listed had already reduced their asking price, one by $64,999.
On an FHA loan at 3.5% down, between $6,300 and $8,746. A VA loan requires nothing down, and conventional loans run 3% or 5%. True cash to close is larger than the down payment alone, because Florida closing costs and prepaid items add roughly 2 to 5 percent of the price on top, which puts the real figure closer to $10,000 to $21,000.
No. A seller credit can only be applied to closing costs, prepaid items such as taxes and insurance, discount points and the upfront mortgage insurance premium. The FHA minimum required investment of 3.5% must come from the borrower or an approved gift source. In Cedar Hills Estates, 13 of the 21 closings in the twelve months to November 2026 carried a seller concession, with a median of $7,980 and a maximum of $12,000, which covers most or all of those other closing costs.
There was no CDD bond on a single one of the 100 single-family records in the November 2026 MLS pull, and almost none carried an HOA fee. The only association fees in the data belonged to a separate condominium project that shares part of the subdivision name. Duval County's combined millage is 17.86 mills, and property tax should always be modelled from the purchase price rather than from the seller's current bill.
The FHA program floor is 580 for 3.5% down, and between 500 and 579 the program requires 10% down instead. Most individual lenders apply their own overlay above that minimum and want 620 or higher, so the practical answer depends on the lender rather than on FHA. A larger down payment is a separate lever that lowers the monthly payment regardless of score.
Tell Bryce where you want to be and he will run the same read on it — what is for sale, the payment, the income and the credit score it takes to get in. No obligation, and no property address required.
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